Sheffield United vs. West Ham Odds
|Sheffield United Odds||+205 [BET NOW]|
|West Ham Odds||+140 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+225 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (+114/-141) [BET NOW]|
|Time||9 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
Two clubs with plenty on the line go at it Sunday when Sheffield United hosts West Ham United in Premier League action at Bramall Lane.
This is a huge fixture for Sheffield United, who has just one point through eight games this season. The Blades are just one of three winless clubs in England’s top flight, which has led them to a spot in last place on the table.
On the other side, West Ham has played well enough to find itself in the middle of the pack in the 20-team league. The Hammers are in 12th place, holding a 3-2-3 record that’s good for 11 points.
With that said, let’s take a look at these sides and what’s on deck.
It goes without saying that pretty much nothing has gone right for the Blades in the first half of its campaign.
Sheffield United has lost seven of its opening eight matches, with its lone positive result coming four matches back via a 1-1 draw against Fulham. That shock start has the Blades fighting for their lives in the relegation zone, meaning any points in this spot is a must.
Offensively, things are beyond brutal for Sheffield United. The Blades have scored just four goals this season, with David McGoldrick responsible for two of them. That is simply not going to cut it, especially when Sheffield United has conceded 14 goals at the other end of the pitch.
As you could probably imagine, the Blades have accumulated some terrible statistical data thus far. Sheffield United sits on 7.2 expected goals and 12.5 expected goals against in league play. Those numbers result in a -5.3 xGDiff and -0.66 xGDiff/90 minutes, putting the Blades at or near the bottom of the league in all categories.
Sheffield United’s xGDiff/90 is last on the 20-team table.
The Hammers have actually been one of the bigger surprises in my opinion, putting several impressive efforts in their last five outings during an absolutely brutal stretch of games.
West Ham picked up a stunning 3-0 victory over Leicester City to start that five-match slate, then followed it up with hard-earned draws against Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City. A 2-1 loss to defending champion Liverpool followed those stalemates, but the Hammers closed with a 1-0 triumph over Fulham prior to the international break.
Michail Antonio and Jarrod Bowen each have three goals for West Ham, which could find itself as high as seventh place on the table with a win on Sunday.
When comparing statistical data, West Ham obliterates Sheffield United in every category. The Hammers have compiled a solid 10.6 xGs and 9.5 expected goals against, yielding a +1.1 xGDiff and +0.13 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
How well do West Ham’s advanced metrics match up against some of the marquee clubs? It’s xG are better than Southampton (8.7 xG), which is fourth in the league standings. The club is also better than powerhouses Manchester City (10.0 xG) and Manchester United (8.5 xG) in that same category.
West Ham is in much better form, showing it can hang with the league’s best on any occasion. In contrast, Sheffield United can’t get anything going and I don’t see it righting the ship in this latest fixture.
So I’m backing West Ham with a Draw No Bet wager.
I am also sprinkling a little on the total to stay under the number. There have been fewer than three goals in seven of the last eight meetings between these sides across all competitions, and Sheffield can’t generate any offense.
Sheffield United’s last five home matches in league play haven’t reached three goals, giving me even more confidence in this selection.
Picks: West Ham — Draw No Bet (-139) | Total Under 2.5 Goals (-141)